The Manpower Model was created in the late 1970's and early 1980's to project the number of workers directly employed in proposed OCS exploration and development activities.  This data is used in another model to predict secondary employment and population.  The employment data from the Manpower Model and the secondary employment and population data are used in EIS's.  The input factors to the Manpower Model were based on information, no more current than the early 1980's, from industry on the actual number of workers used for 20 different tasks and numerous subtasks through the full range of activity from exploration and development to production.  Technology has changed sufficiently that the input variables to this model should be re-examined and adjusted.  The employment and population projections in recent EIS's do not reflect current industry practices and technology.  Information about current industry practices is best obtained form industry representatives and consultants to industry.

The objective of this study is to update the Manpower Model with input variables that accurately reflect the number of workers needed to complete tasks associated with exploration, development, and production on the OCS.

The current Manpower Model has one set of factors for all of Alaska.  The update will be for Arctic operations only.

Projections of direct OCS employment, secondary employment, and population in Arctic region EIS's will be more accurately reflected.  With more accurate projections, stakeholders will have more confidence in the economics sections of the EIS's.  More accurate projections may be used in decisions regarding post lease mitigation

Final products delivered March 2004.